2015 NRL Round 1 Betting Preview for Gold Coast Titans v Wests Tigers thanks to William Hill Australia.
7pm AEDT, Saturday, March 7
CBus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
The Titans will be looking to put their off-field dramas behind them when they tackle a Tigers team under Jason Taylor for the first time. The Tigers will be a tougher nut to crack than last year but the Titans won’t be prepared to lie down after the drama they’ve endured.
The Titans side has been decimated with three certain starters – Greg Bird, Dave Taylor and Beau Falloon – stood down on drugs charges. Nate Myles shifts to lock, Ryan James goes to the backrow and debutant Kierran Moseley starting at hooker. Josh Hoffman, Matt Robinson, Eddie Pettybourne and Ryan Simpkins all debut for the Titans. The Tigers are near full-strength with just winger David Noafaluma missing. Ex-Panther Kevin Naiqama debuts in his place. Young guns James Tedesco, Luke Brooks and Mitch Moses join Robbie Farah in the spine.
The Titans hold a 7-6 all-time edge over the Tigers with the Gold Coast holding a 5-3 edge on the holiday strip. The teams met twice last year with the Titans winning 22-6 in Sydney but losing 42-12 at home. Titans prop Eddie Pettybourne is a former Tiger.
Neither the Titans or Tigers showed much form in the Auckland Nines in 2015. The Titans defeated an understrength Warriors team in their first trial before getting hammered by North Queensland. The Tigers had a fairly strong preseason with wins over the Eels and Sharks in their two major trials.
Look for a monster battle between veteran Robbie Farah and rookie Kierran Moseley at hooker. Farah is one of the best players in the game and wants to reinforce his standing as the second best hooker in the NRL while Moseley is a kid with a bright future, a player very much in the James Segeyaro mould. Farah will be involved in everything and it looks like Moseley won’t be far behind.
Stats That Matter
Night matches with the underdog playing at home and getting less than a converted try strikes at 63.2% of the time since 2011 – the best bet in the NRL. The Tigers are 4-8 ATS in the first four rounds since 2012 while the Titans are 8-4 ATS. The Titans are 11-1 under in the first month across the last three years. The Titans are 23-12 under at night/twilight since 2012. The Gold Coast are a poor 14-22 (17-19 ATS) at home over the same time frame. The Tigers have covered just three of their last 12 interstate games.
This game is impossible to figure with the Titans missing so many stars. The one good bet is the under. The Titans side will be extremely disjointed with all their outs while the Tigers must adjust to the new systems implemented by Jason Taylor. The Gold Coast will lean on their defence and with the total very high for a night game this looks one of the top bets of the week.
How It’s Shaping Up
Wests Tigers by 4
Under 42.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Gold Coast Titans v Wests Tigers Betting Odds
Below we have 2015 NRL Round 1 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.