Penrith Panthers v Gold Coast Titans
4.35pm AEDT, Saturday, March 14
Pepper Stadium, Sydney
2015 NRL Round 2 Betting Preview for Penrith vs Gold Coast thanks to William Hill Australia.
Penrith opened the season with a red-hot win against the Bulldogs and hope to stamp their premiership credentials with a big win over the visiting Gold Coast. The Titans have been embroiled in offseason drama throughout much of the offseason and will be desperate for some good news after a heartbreaking first round loss.
Penrith go in unchanged after their impressive first round win against Canterbury. Neil Henry has made just one change to the Titans team, starting Lachlan Burr and relegating Matt Robinson to the bench.
NRL Injury List
The Panthers and Titans have played 11 games with Penrith victorious in seven of those, averaging a win of 4.5 points. Penrith have won the last three clashes including 14-12 and 36-14 wins last year. The Panthers have just a 3-2 edge at home against the Titans all-time. Five of the last six matches have tallied 38 points or more. Penrith centre Jamal Idris is a former Titan while Gold Coast players James Roberts, Kierran Moseley, Matt Robinson and Ryan Simpkins are former Panthers.
The Panthers were excellent for the first 65 minutes of the Bulldogs game, jumping to a 24-0 lead before hanging on to win 24-18. Penrith missed 41 tackles and conceded six line breaks but averaged an excellent 8.2 metres a hitup and 8.5 metres a dummy-half run. The Panthers were also extremely efficient in attack and had a superior kick-chase. The Titans nearly surprised the Tigers at home but lost to a Pat Richards field goal. The Gold Coast matched the Tigers in most metrics but were let down by a sub-standard kicking game.
James Segeyaro was the best hooker in the opening round of the premiership after winning the Dally M Hooker of the Year last season and is making a push to be recognised as the best rake after Cameron Smith. He ripped the Bulldogs to shreds last week and will be looking to do the same to former understudy Kierran Moseley, who was forced to the Titans by Segeyaro’s brilliance. Moseley was quiet first-up but needs a big game against the Panthers to give the Gold Coast a hope.
Stats That Matter
The Titans are the best interstate team in the NRL and it is not even close. The Gold Coast are a remarkable 25-13 ATS (17-21 straight) since 2011 interstate with a profit in turnover of 64.7%. When getting 12 or more points the Titans are 7-4 ATS interstate and have covered five of their last seven. Over the last three seasons the Titans are 15-12 ATS at night (and 18-9 under at night) while the Panthers are 17-10 with a 14-13 ATS number and 16-11 under record. Penrith have not covered in five attempts as a double digit favourite back to 2009 and are 2-5 ATS back to 2011 when spotting more than a converted try.
The Gold Coast with the huge start shape as one of the bets of the round. While they have been decimated by drug-related suspensions, they match up pretty well with the Panthers. The Titans backline is impressive and if the halves can provide some quality ball then they can make an impact out wide. Penrith were excellent in Round 1 but historically they have not towelled up teams – even last year when they reached the Top 4. The Titans are a great interstate team because they are perennially underrated and they show up to play. An upset can happen, particularly if the Titans pack can at least hold square in the arm wrestle. The huge start is way too big.
How It’s Shaping Up
Penrith by 6
Gold Coast +12 ($1.90)
Other Recommended Bets
Gold Coast ($4.50)
Gold Coast 1-12 ($6.50)
Penrith vs Gold Coast Comparison Betting Odds
Below we have 2015 NRL Round 2 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.