2015 NRL Round 3 Betting Preview for Sydney Roosters vs Penrith thanks to William Hill Australia.
7pm AEDT, Monday, March 23
Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Round 3 closes out with an absolute cracker of a match with last year’s two losing preliminary finalists squaring off. The Roosters and Panthers have both started the season in red-hot form and will be ready for another classic after a sensational final between the two teams last season.
The Roosters are unchanged from the team that was defeated by South Sydney while the Panthers welcome back Josh Mansour. Mansour comes in for George Jennings. Jamie Soward is also out hurt with Isaac John getting the start at five-eighth.
The Sydney Roosters and Penrith have played 83 times with the Roosters winning 51 matches to the Panthers’ 31. The last 10 between the two sides have been split though with the Chooks winning the regular season matchup 32-12 last year before a Jamie Soward field goal kicked the Panthers to a famous 19-18 finals win. The last four matches played at the SFS have been split evenly with seven of the last eight tallying over 36 points. Panthers coach Ivan Cleary is a former Roosters player while Chooks centre Michael Jennings emerged from Penrith.
The Roosters have started the season with all cylinders firing, towelling North Queensland 28-4 in Townsville before a tough loss to South Sydney last week when holding a 10-point lead. The Roosters attack has looked incredibly crisp with the halves pairing playing sensational football. Penrith have been just as impressive, holding on for a 24-18 home win against Canterbury after leading 24-0 before hammering the Gold Coast 40-0. The Panthers lead the premiership in tries scored, line breaks and offloads while they have conceded the fewest tries.
Anyone not excited about the fullback battle between Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and Matt Moylan doesn’t care much for quality Rugby League. Two of the most exciting custodians in the game, each can turn a match in a single play. Tuivasa-Sheck has been scintillating since shifting to fullback while Moylan has been one of the form players of the premiership, setting up three Penrith tries against the Titans last week. What a matchup!
Stats That Matter
The Roosters are 5-1 with a 4-2 ATS record on Monday night under Trent Robinson while the Panthers are 5-4 with a 3-6 ATS number under Ivan Cleary. The Chooks are 22-8 at the SFS since 2013 with a 16-14 cover record and a 17-13 over number. Since ’13 the Panthers are 13-15 on the road with a 15-13 cover rate. When favoured by more than a converted try at home the Roosters are 18-5 with a 12-11 cover record and a remarkable 16-7 over record. The Panthers are 5-11 (9-7 ATS) when getting more than a converted try but have covered four of the last six. Teams who scored 25 points and lost the previous week are 28-21 ATS back to 2008.
This game is a real cracker and the Roosters should collect the points, particularly with Jamie Soward missing for Penrith. The Panthers ended up putting a number on the Titans but were well beaten in the first 20 minutes. An opening like that against the Chooks and the game will be over. The points should flow pretty freely in this as they tend to at home when the Roosters are heavily favoured meaning punters can finish off Round 3 with a strong go on the over.
How It’s Shaping Up
Sydney Roosters by 8
Over 37.5 ($1.91)
Other Recommended Bets
Sydney Roosters HT/FT ($1.78)
Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Comparison Betting Odds
Below we have 2015 NRL Round 3 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.