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2015 NRL Round 4 Betting Preview – Wests Tigers vs Bulldogs

2015 NRL Round 4 Betting Preview for Wests Tigers vs Bulldogs thanks to William Hill Australia.

Wests Tigers v Canterbury Bulldogs
7.35pm AEDT, Friday, March 27
ANZ Stadium, Sydney
The Tigers and Bulldogs are both poised to claim March as a win after opening the season 2-1 each. A win here for either will have that team in good stead while a loss will have that team back to the drawing board. The Bulldogs go in heavy favourites.

Selection Notes
The Tigers have lost winger Pat Richards to suspension with Delouise Hoeter to debut on the flank, a player sure to be targeted by the Bulldogs. Canterbury are unchanged.

History
Canterbury hold a 17-10 all-time advantage over the Wests Tigers and have won  six of the last seven matchups including a 30-10 win the last time the two teams met. The Tigers shocked the Bulldogs in Round 19 last year though when Keith Lulia scored four tries in a 46-18 demolition job. Canterbury have scored 23-plus in four of their last five meetings with the Tigers and hold a 9-6 all-time edge at ANZ. The last four between the two sides has tallied over 40 points. Tigers enforcer Martin Taupau and benchman Dene Halatau are former Bulldogs players.

Form
Both the Tigers and the Bulldogs have opened the season 2-1. The Tigers ground out a close win with the Titans, flogged the Saints and then were strong in a heavy defeat to the Rabbitohs. The Bulldogs were blown away early by Penrith in the opening round but came back late in that game before punishing the Eels and always having Manly under control last week. The Tigers have committed the most errors this year while field position has been a major issue with the Tigers taking the most drop outs. Canterbury have scored 12 tries but conceded 10 and haven’t stood out anywhere across the park. The Bulldogs have been been a very conservative team focussed on fundamentals and it has worked.

Key Matchup
The big boppers will decide this one with Tigers bookend Aaron Woods the form bookend in the competition while Canterbury’s James Graham and Aiden Tolman are viewed as two of the best props in the game. Woods leads all forwards in hitup metres with his workload unmatched among other props, laying the platform for the success the Tigers have had. He meets Bulldogs skipper Graham though who is the top prop in the NRL with an ability to create as well as get through a mountain of work while Tolman is a cart horse. The four starting props in this game rank in the top eight for metres made among bookends.

Stats That Matter
Canterbury are 27-18 (25-20 ATS) at ANZ since 2012 with a 27-18 under record and a 22-13 ATS (20-15 under) at night at the ground. The under has saluted in seven of the Bulldogs’ last eight at ANZ while Canterbury are 14-3 (10-7 ATS) at the ground when favoured by more than a converted try with the over 10-7. Over the same time the Tigers are 3-9 with a 4-8 ATS record and a 6-6 over number while they have covered four of eight as an outsider of more than a converted try at the venue. The Tigers have covered just one of their last 11 and 14 of their last 49 at night, losing by an average off 11.3 points. The Bulldogs are 34-20 ATS. The Tigers are 3-10 (4-9 ATS) after scoring single digits.

Final Thoughts
Canterbury are entitled to win this and win it well on form across the early weeks. The Tigers have dug deep all season but have shown little in attack and should get steamrolled by the heavy-set Bulldogs forwards. The loss of Pat Richards is significant. He gives the Tigers a big edge with kick offs and goalkicking while his height and reliability under the high ball will be missed. The Bulldogs’ lack of punch in attack is the only real concern here but they are in little danger of losing this.

How It’s Shaping Up
Canterbury by 14

Best Bet
Canterbury -7.5 ($1.90)

Other Recommended Bets
Canterbury HT/FT ($1.80)

Wests Tigers vs Bulldogs Comparison Betting Odds

Below we have 2015 NRL Round 4 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.

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