2015 NRL Round 5 Betting Preview for Parramatta vs Wests Tigers thanks to William Hill Australia.
3pm AEDT, Monday, April 6
ANZ Stadium, Sydney
A cracking Easter Monday slate kicks off with Parramatta tackling the Wests Tigers at ANZ. Both teams have vastly improved this year and will have marked this match as a most winnable affair.
Parramatta have lost Brad Takairgangi with John Folau moving to the centres and Bureta Faraimo coming onto the wing. Tepai Moeroa also returns with David Gower back to the bench and Peni Terepo out. The Tigers welcome back Aaron Woods, Pat Richards and Dene Halatau after the veterans all missed the clash with the Bulldogs.
Parramatta and the Tigers have had a relatively even history with the Eels edging ahead with 16 wins in the 29 matches. It has all been the Tigers in recent years though with eight wins in the last 11 clashes including a 21-18 win in their only clash in 2014. Parramatta have not defeated the Tigers away from Parra Stadium since 2009. These two have scored at least 39 points in their last six matches. The Tigers have scored below 20 just once in their last nine against Parramatta. Tigers coach Jason Taylor is a former mentor at Parramatta while Tigers winger Pat Richards spent four years at the Eels.
Both Parramatta and the Wests Tigers have been surprisingly plucky this year, both opening the year 2-2. The Eels come into this off a win over defending premiers South Sydney and also have a win against Manly while they were beaten away to the Bulldogs and Warriors. They rank an impressive third in attack but a lowly 10th in defence. The Tigers have rolled only the Titans and the Dragons and have toughed it out in losses to the Bulldogs and Bunnies. They rank seventh in defence and 11th in attack.
The battle between fullbacks Will Hopoate and James Tedesco should be an absolute beauty. Both are in contention for the NSW No.1 jersey. Hopoate was poor last week but has enjoyed the move to the back while Tedesco has been scintillating all year. If one custodian puts his stamp on the game it will be the difference.
Stats That Matter
The Eels are a horrific 2-11 straight and ATS at ANZ over the last four seasons with an average losing margin of 14.5. The Tigers are only marginally better at the ground with a 3-10 (5-8 ATS) and a losing margin average of 12.9. The Eels have failed to cover the three games they have been shorter than $2.00 at the ground while the Tigers are 1-2 straight and ATS. The Eels have covered five of their last nine day matches while the Tigers have played their best football in day games covering 12 of their last 23. The Tigers are 11-6 (8-9 ATS) after scoring 24-plus while the Eels are 6-15 (7-14 ATS). The under is 21-10 for teams who have played Souths the week prior over the last two years.
The Wests Tigers look superb value in this one. The Eels were mighty impressive against the Rabbitohs but it has to be remembered what a different team they are away from Parra Stadium. The Tigers have caught the eye this year with their commitment, particularly in defence. The returns of Aaron Woods and Pat Richards are huge and while the Eels probably have a better side on paper it is the Tigers that have the top echelon. They are entitled to win this and win it rather convincingly on current form.
How It’s Shaping Up
Wests Tigers by 7
Wests Tigers ($1.95)
Parramatta vs Wests Tigers Comparison Betting Odds
Below we have 2015 NRL Round 5 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.