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2015 NRL Round 6 Betting Preview – Parramatta vs Gold Coast

3.00pm (AEST), Saturday, April 11

Pirtek Stadium, Sydney

Parramatta are seeking to rebound from a disappointing Easter Monday outing, hosting a Gold Coast outfit that are short on results but big on character and grit.

Selection Notes

For the Eels, Reece Robinson returns from injury on the wing, which allows Manu Ma’u to revert to the backrow and John Folau to move into the centres. David Gower slips back to the bench and Peni Terepo takes up 18th man duties. David Taylor comes into the starting pack with Eddy Pettybourne moving back to the bench in the only change to the Titans’ line-up.

History

The Titans hold a 7-4 advantage in 11 clashes with the Eels since 2007. The teams have squared off at Pirtek Stadium just twice, with the Titans prevailing in 2008 and the Eels getting up in 2011. Parramatta snared a 24-18 win at Robina late last season to snap a three-match losing streak against the Titans.

Form

Coming off a stirring 29-16 upset of defending premiers South Sydney in Round 4, the Eels let slip a tremendous opportunity to consolidate their position with a 22-6 loss to Wests Tigers. The blue-and-golds held a 6-4 lead for an age during the drab Easter Monday encounter, but showed little inclination of landing a killer blow and were overrun in the final 11 minutes. The 2-3 Eels are ranked sixth in attack and 13th in defence. The Titans, who secured their first win of the season against Cronulla in Round 4, produced a typically plucky performance against in-form Brisbane before going down 26-16. The Titans are ranked 14th in attack and last in defence, despite three of their four losses being by 10 points or less.

Key Matchup

The enigmatic Chris Sandow has been at the heart of most of Parramatta’s positive play in 2015 and was one of the few Eels to provide any spark last week. His one-on-one clash with rookie Titan Kane Elgey, who lines up for his third NRL appearance and is in high demand, will be crucial to the outcome on Saturday.

Stats That Matter

Parramatta are 13-6 at Pirtek Stadium since the start of 2013 (9-10 against the start), and have won 12 of their last 14 at the venue, covering 11 times. Gold Coast are 11-15 as the away team over the last three seasons, and a handy 17-9 against the start in those games. The Titans are 11-12 (13-10 ATS) and the Eels just 4-10 (5-9 ATS) in day games from 2013-15. The Eels are 12-8 as the home side coming off a loss over the last three seasons, covering 15 times.

Final Thoughts

Parramatta have been anything but consistent in 2015, while Gold Coast have been consistently gutsy but have struggled to come away with wins. The gap between the Eels’ best and worst performances is huge, but their magnificent home record is impossible to overlook and they should notch up their third win of the season against a Titans side that doesn’t have the capacity to play much better than they have been already. Expect the over to salute, while the 7.5 line doesn’t look like enough to contain the Eels’ attacking studs.

How It’s Shaping Up

Eels by 12

Best Bet

Eels -7.5 ($1.91)

Other Recommended Bets

Over 40.5 ($1.90)

2015 NRL Round 6 Betting Preview for Parramatta vs Gold Coast thanks to William Hill Australia.

Parramatta vs Gold Coast Comparison Betting Odds

Below we have 2015 NRL Round 6 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.

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