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2015 NRL Round 6 Betting Preview – Penrith vs Manly

2015 NRL Round 6 Betting Preview for Penrith vs Manly thanks to William Hill Australia.

7.30pm (AEST), Saturday, April 11

Pepper Stadium, Sydney

Two sides on three-matches losing streaks that have performed well below expectations to date in 2015 square off at the foot of the mountains on Saturday. Penrith and Manly have reached an early crossroads, but could turn the corner with a positive result this weekend.

Selection Notes

Dean Whare’s hamstring injury sees Jamal Idris’ second-row experiment repealed after one week, while Sika Manu returns to the Panthers’ starting pack. The Sea Eagles are unchanged with Jamie Lyon, Steve Matai and Feleti Mateo still on the sidelines.

History

Manly hold a commanding 50-28-1 advantage in the all-time match tally against Penrith, including 21-17-1 as the away side. The Sea Eagles have won four of the last six, including an epic 26-25 victory in Round 25 last year at Brookvale after Tom Symonds’ last-minute try. The Panthers prevailed in the last match at Penrith, a 22-4 upset in 2012.

Form

Penrith have lost three on the trot after winning their first two, outlasted by Sydney Roosters (20-12), Newcastle (26-14) and North Queensland (30-10). The run of outs has coincided with the injury absence of linchpin five-eighth Jamie Soward. After their rousing victory over Melbourne in Round 2, embattled Manly have crashed to losses at the hands of Canterbury (16-12), St George Illawarra (12-4) and Canberra (29-16). The defeat to the Raiders in Albury was particularly disappointing, although the Sea Eagles’ progress has also been hindered by a swathe of injuries.

Key Matchup

Livewire James Segeyaro has been the form No.9 of 2015 so far – and arguably the Panthers’ most consistent and dynamic performer. The reigning Dally M Hooker of the Year goes head-to-head with the Sea Eagles’ industrious ironman Matt Ballin, an underrated rival in the Queensland back-up hooker stakes. Contrasting styles, but equally important to their respective sides.

Stats That Matter

Penrith are 17-10 at home since the start of 2013 (14-13 against the start) with a 17-10 under record. Manly are 13-15 away (14-14 ATS) during that period; the club is on a four-match road losing streak and has not covered in their last six away games. Four of the last six Penrith-Manly clashes have been decided by 1-12 margins and produced 38 points or less. The Sea Eagles have not lost four straight since the beginning of 2009; the Panthers have not lost two straight at home since 2013.

Final Thoughts

Highly-fancied Penrith’s slide has been concerning and they are clearly missing Jamie Soward’s influence, but Manly’s plight is significantly worse. Without centre pairing Jamie Lyon and Steve Matai, and a weakened engine-room arsenal, the odds are stacked against the Sea Eagles digging their way out of this hole in the immediate future. The Panthers’ home record is nothing to write home about but the Sea Eagles have been poor on the road for a top-four staple.

How It’s Shaping Up

Penrith by 10

Best Bet

Penrith -6 ($1.91)

Other Recommended Bets

Penrith/Penrith ($1.90)

Penrith vs Manly Comparison Betting Odds

Below we have 2015 NRL Round 6 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.

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